DATA DOES NOT SUPPORT THE SCHOOL GUN VIOLENCE ‘EPIDEMIC’ NARRATIVE
by Kevin Ryan @UnbiasedAmerica
To hear the speeches of students and gun control advocates, you’d think schools were among the most dangerous places in America. So I decided to look into the actual data.
The reality turns out to be the exact opposite of the narrative. Not only are schools NOT suffering from an epidemic of violence, they are among the safest places to be in the entire country. You are 800 times less likely to be killed by a gun while in a school than the overall firearm homicide rate in the U.S.
This according to data from one of the nation’s premier authorities on gun violence, James Alan Fox. Fox served on President Bill Clinton’s advisory committee on school shootings, has testified before congress, and served as a visiting fellow with the Bureau of Justice Statistics. He is arguably the nation’s leading criminologist.
His data, which is included in the upcoming “Wiley Handbook on Violence in Education,” not only disproves the narrative that schools are dangerous, but shows that they’ve become significantly safer since the 1990s.
Four times the number of children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today, according to Fox. “There is not an epidemic of school shootings,” he said.
NOTE: Suicide is included in the 10.7 overall rate of gun deaths because most statistics on school firearm violence also include suicides, and I don’t know whether this particular study did so as well - The full data won’t be released until June; I only have the summary data.
However, even if you take suicides out of the overall firearm death rate, schools are still far, far safer than elsewhere:
Overall Firearm Homicide Rate: 4.3 per 100,000
School Firearm Homicide Rate: 0.013 per 100,000
Therefore, if the data excludes suicides, schools are 331 times safer that the overall U.S. rate.